Nigeria, though rated
the largest economy in Africa is contending with hard times.
Following the fall in
global oil prices and the weakening currency which has been under devaluation
pressure in recent times, economic experts foresee hard times for Nigerians and
the possibility of devaluating the Naira.
Agence France-Presse (AFP) reports that dollar reserves stands
at $28bn; $20bn less than in April 2013.
This development portends a looming downfall for Nigeria that is
import-dependent for almost everything; from milk and machinery to petroleum
products.
International Monetary Fund (IMF) projected Nigeria to have
grown by 3.0% in 2015, its slowest pace in over a decade.
Nigeria, unlike Norway that invested hundreds of billions of
dollars of its oil money into stocks, bonds and real estate, depends majorly on
revenue from oil.
By the reality in the global oil market, the country is
exposed to economy down turn as crude oil prices have slumped more than
two-thirds since $100 per barrel in mid-2014.
AFP also noted that Nigeria is now in limbo, badly needing
foreign investment but unable to get any.
Razia Khan, an economist at Standard Chartered Bank, was quoted
by AFP to have said it would be difficult for Nigeria to sustain foreign
exchange with this reality.
“If you’re not attracting those inflows and you’re not
generating a surplus from the export of oil, then it’s going to be more
difficult to sustain foreign exchange reserves where they are,” Khan projected.
In same light, Africa News President in its report claimed
Muhammadu Buhari has not ruled out the devaluation of the Naira in order to
lure investors without “killing” the currency in any way.
“The current situation creates a lot of anxiety and uncertainty
because nobody knows how to anticipate and everyone complains about the
government’s lack of orientation,” Anna Rosenburg, expert in emerging markets
for Frontier Strategy Group, was quoted as saying,”
Last week, President Muhammadu Buhari stated devaluation of the
Naira is one decision he was not ready to take at the moment.
Buhari insisted that further devaluation of the Naira
would kill the currency and further inflict more hardship on the poor
citizens.
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